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Nobody Knows the Republican Delegate Count

by Diane V. McLoughlin, mcloughlinpost.com

Posted: April 5, 2012

[
Update May 9, 2012: The contest is now between Ron Paul and Mitt
Romney.

A Rasmussen poll (
as reported by Real Clear Politics) confirms
previous findings that Ron Paul and President Barack Obama are
currently tied for choice in a general election. The results of this
latest poll strongly suggest Ron Paul's program of peace, prosperity
and restoration of democracy resonates with many voters - even with
President Obama's field advantage as the incumbent and the radio
silence (or distortions), of the corporate press.

Ron Paul has, to-date, won as many as 10 states by delegate count.

Ben Swann, of Fox10's Reality Check,
reported that it appears that
the Republican Party rules governing delegates were changed in
2008.    At the National Convention, delegates who are bound
(meaning committed, or obliged) to vote for a particular candidate in
the first round of voting (for the Republican Party leader), can, the
rules seem to read, abstain.

*However, around May 18th or so, Israel Anderson of Ron Paul
FLIX countered that this is a misreading of the rules by Ben Swann. I
would note here that Mr. Swann has done otherwise superlative work
reporting independently on the Republican leadership race.
]

The Republican leadership race now consists of four candidates, in a
field that began with nine.

In case you hadn't heard, Ron Paul Republicans are winning delegates
at county-level caucuses.  

The mainstream press does not accurately report delegate counts.  
Nobody knows what the delegate count is. As it's possible you won't
see that last sentence expressed or written elsewhere, you might want
to take a moment.  Their calculations are reported as if they are carved
in stone. They aren't.

One in four delegates who will end up headed for the national
convention are what's known as 'unbound'. They will be voting for the
next leader of the Republican Party.  The leader may, in turn, become
the next President of the United States. But unbound delegates are not
committed to vote for any particular candidate when they get to the
convention in Tampa, in August.

Further, if the national convention's first vote does not give any
candidate a clear majority, then, on the second vote, the delegates will
all be free to vote (and to give their heart) to whom they will.  At that
point, it's known as a brokered convention.

The other three candidates currently remaining in the race are all
'formers'.  Newt Gingrich is a former Speaker of the House.  Newt was
drummed out by his own party in disgrace.  

Rick Santorum is a former Senator from Pennsylvania.  Rick holds the
distinction of losing by the widest margin in U.S. history when running
a second time as an incumbent Senator. Rick was dubbed 'Most
Corrupt' in 2006, by CREW, a congressional watchdog group.

Mitt Romney is a former governor of Massachusetts. Mitt ran for the
Republican leadership in 2008. He lost to Senator John McCain.  Ever
since, Mitt has been campaigning for the job of president.  Mitt's the
candidate who once strapped the crated family dog to the roof of the  
car on their way to vacation.  

Dr. Ron Paul is a congressman serving in his twelfth term in public
office.  He is also the only candidate remaining who has served active
duty in the military.  

Ron Paul won tens of thousands more votes yesterday in the Wisconsin,
Maryland and District of Columbia primaries than Newt Gingrich did.

Rick Santorum didn't have the minimum organization necessary to get
on D.C.'s (or Virginia's) ballot.  

Ron Paul and Mitt Romney are the only candidates prepared to run
truly national campaigns. They are
the only candidates to succeed in
registering on every state ballot in the nation.

On the
National Taxpayers' Union 2011 scorecard, Congressman Ron
Paul achieved 'Taxpayer's Friend' status, an award the
Ron Paul
campaign touts his having won consistently throughout his career in
public office.  

In Monday's Rassmussen Reports polling data, Mitt Romney tied with
Obama.  Ron Paul was second at -3 points; Santorum -5; Gingrich -10.

Ron Paul's campaign is, by and large, funded by grassroots
contributors, unlike Mitt Romney who, like President Obama, is
backed to a large degree by big banks and corporations (although it is
fair to say that President Obama also garners many small individual
donations, too.)

The corporate-owned press has deliberately tried to marginalize Ron
Paul in the minds of voters, as noted in an article by nj.com's Paul
Mulshine, on the NYTimes. [1]

Another good example of how marginalization is done are the graphs
below [showing mid-January - March 29, 2012.] Ron Paul is second
on the charts themselves yet inexplicably has his name placed last on
the right-hand side.

On the same Rassmussen graphs, it is also noteworthy that Ron Paul is
on a healthy upward trajectory in voter support, while Mitt Romney
remains flat, consistently around the 50% mark.














































-
Poll analysis:  Rassmussen Daily Tracking Poll | Race 4 2012  ;



The process for selecting delegates to the national convention is
ongoing. No one has a crystal ball.  But there is certainly evidence of
strong support for Congressman Ron Paul.






Below, twitpic [@indfatal] of the Ron Paul town hall at California
State University, April 3, 2012 - a record-breaking crowd numbered
at 6,200.














































________






Notes:

[1]  '
The Times admits it deep-sixed Ron Paul'; Paul Mulshine,
NJ.com; January 16, 2012;


Past essays:

'
Ron Paul Fact Versus NYTimes Fiction'; Diane V. McLoughlin, March
25, 2012;

'
Presidential Candidate Ron Paul:  Principles Versus Pundits'; Diane
V. McLoughlin; March 17, 2012;

'
Justice, Fairness, War and Peace - Black and White to Ron Paul';
Diane V. McLoughlin; January 12, 2012;






































































Copyright 2012, Diane V. McLoughlin, All Rights Reserved.
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